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Is COVID-19 winding down? Scientists say no. Here's why

Is COVID-19 winding down? Scientists say no. Here's why
CLOSE TO 90 BY NEXT WEEKEND. JENNIFER: THIS WEEK, THE CDC AND FDA BOTH SIGNED OFF ON NEW BOOSTER SHOTS, TARGETING THE SBUVAIRANTS OF COVID-19. NOW, THEY ARE ALREADY BEING DISTRIBUTED ACROSS THE COUNTRY, INCLUDING HERE IN MARYLAND. JOINING US LIVE THIS MORNING WITH MORE IS PROFESSOR OF BIOLOGY AT LOYOLA UNIVERSITY , DR. CHRISTOPHER THOMPSON. CONGRATS ON YOUR PROMOTION. TALK ABOUT THE BOOSTERS. WHAT MAKES THEM DIFFERENT? DR. THOMPSON: THERE ARE TWO DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE BOOSTER SHOT. WE HAVE THE PART FIGHTING THE OLD PART OF CORONAVIRUS, THEN WE HAVE A NEW PART THAT IS FIGHTING THE NEWER VARIANTS. SO IT SHOULD BE MORE EFFECTIVE AGAINST THE COVID GOING THROUGH THE COUNTRY RIGHT NOW. JENNIFER: WHO SHOULD BE GETTING THE BOOSTERS? DR. THOMPSON: IT IS OPEN TO ANYONE OVER THE AGE OF 18. IF YOU GET THE PFIZER SHOT, OVER AGE 12. ANYONE WHO HAS NOT HAD COVID IN THE PAST THREE MONTHS OR HAD A BOOSTER IN THE PAST THREE MONTHS IS ELIGIBLE TO GET IT. EVERYONE SHOULD DO THE RISK ANALYSIS WE바카라 게임 웹사이트VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT FOR YEARS. HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO GET IT? HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO GET SICK? HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO SPREAD IT? THE VACCINES ARE INCREDIBLY EFFECTIVE AT PRESENTING SEVERE ILLNESS AND DEATH, WE STILL HAVE 500 PEOPLE EVERY DAY IN THE U.S. DYING FROM COVID. JENNIFER: WE HAVE MORE AND MORE REPORTED CASES. THE TRACKING IS NOT THE SAME AS IT USED TO BE, EVERYONE WHO THOUGHT THEY WERE SICK USED TO GO GET THE TESTS. THEN WE KNEW THE TRUE NUMBER OF PEOPLE WHO HAD COVID. MOST PEOPLE NOW TEST AT HOME. HOW DO WE KNOW HOW ABOUT THE SPREAD IS? DR. THOMPSON: WE DON바카라 게임 웹사이트T. EVERY NUMBER YOU ARE SEEING IS PROBABLY A GROSS UNDERESTIMATE OF WHAT IS ACTUALLY GOING ON. SOME PEOPLE ARE NOT TESTING EVEN WITH THE RAPID TESTS, BECAUSE THEY THINK THEY HAVE A COLD OR ALLERGIES. IT COULD BE THAT. SOME PEOPLE WHO DO HAVE A DO NOT REPORT IT BECAUSE OF THE HOOPS YOU HAVE TO JUMP THROUGH WITH YOUR JOB IF YOU ARE COVID POSITIVE. WHATEVER NUMBERS YOU SEE, IT IS PROBABLY SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. JENNIFER: ANY TALK ABOUT COVID RAMPING UP TO THE FALL AND WINTER? DR. THOMPSON: WE SEE A BIG PETE STARK -- PEAK START AROUND THANKSGIVING. PEOPLE ARE INDOORS BECAUSE IT IS COLDER, WE HAVE BIG GATHERINGS THROUGHOUT NOVEMBER TO JANUARY. I EXPECT TO HAPPEN AGAIN. THE BOOSTERS COULD GO A LONG WAY TO HELPING ANY SEVERE INFECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THAT, WE ARE CONCERNED WE MIGHT HAVE A NASTY FLU SEASON. WE WANT TO MAKE SURE EVERYONE IS GETTING THE FLU VACCINE. YOU CAN GET THEM BOTH THE SAME DAY IF YOU WANT ONE IN EACH ARM. JENNIFER: NOW THAT WAS CONTROVERSIAL LAST YEAR, SO MANY PEOPLE WERE SAYING -- PEOPLE WERE GETTING SICK. WHAT DO WE THINK OF THE NEW BOOSTER? DR. THOMPSON: WE NOW HAVE DATA ABOUT BOOSTERS. IN GENERAL, PEOPLE GOT SICKER WITH THE FIRST AND SECOND SHOT AND NOT NEARLY AS SICK WITH THE BOOSTER. WE DO NOT THINK YOU WILL HAVE THOSE SIDE EFFECTS. WE SAW SIDE EFFECTS AND SOME YOUNG MALES, USUALLY, WITH MILD CARD-ITIS. THAT WAS RELATIVELY RARE. IT SEEMED MILD, OVER 80% OF THOSE CASES RESULT ON THEIR OWN WITHOUT INTERVENTION. IF YOU ARE CONCERNED, DO NOT GT THEM ON THE SAME DAY. BUT I WOULD RECOMMEND GETTING BOTH AS MORE DATA COMES OUT. JENNIFER: WITH SCHOOL STARTING, VACCINATIONS HAVE WANED WHEN IT COMES TO PARENTS AND THEIR KIDS THROUGH THE PANDEMIC. YOUR ADVICE? DR. THOMPSON: I THINK FOLLOWING THE CDC GUIDELINES IN GETTING AS MANY VACCINATIONS AS ARE REQUIRED IS GREAT. WE SAW THIS WITH THE POLIO OUTBREAK IN PARTS OF NEW YORK. THE POLIO VACCINE IS VERY EFFECTIVE, THE ONLY KIDS GETTING SICK WITH IT WERE NOT VACCINATED. THAT HAS BEEN AROUND FOR DECADES, WE HAVE GREAT DATA ABOUT IT. NOT BE AFRAID OF ALL VACCINES IN GENERAL, JUST GET THE DATA AND TALK TO WELCOME PROVIDER. JENNIFER: THANKS AS ALWAYS FOR JOINING US.
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Is COVID-19 winding down? Scientists say no. Here's why
Video above: What's the difference with the new COVID-19 booster shots?Is the coronavirus on its way out?You might think so. New, updated booster shots are being rolled out to better protect against the variants circulating now. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has dropped COVID-19 quarantine and distancing recommendations. And more people have thrown off their masks and returned to pre-pandemic activities.But scientists say no. They predict the scourge that's already lasted longer than the 1918 flu pandemic will linger far into the future.One reason it's lasted this long? It's gotten better and better at getting around immunity from vaccination and past infection. Scientists point to emerging research that suggests the latest omicron variant gaining ground in the U.S. 바카라 게임 웹사이트 BA.4.6, which was responsible for around 8% of new U.S. infections last week 바카라 게임 웹사이트 appears to be even better at evading the immune system than the dominant BA.5.Scientists worry the virus may well keep evolving in worrisome ways. How long will it be around?White House COVID-19 coordinator Dr. Ashish Jha said COVID-19 will likely be with us for the rest of our lives.Experts expect COVID-19 will someday become endemic, meaning it occurs regularly in certain areas according to established patterns. But they don't think that will be very soon.Still, living with COVID "should not necessarily be a scary or bad concept," since people are getting better at fighting it, Jha said during a recent question-and-answer session with U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. "Obviously if we take our foot off the gas 바카라 게임 웹사이트 if we stop updating our vaccines, we stop getting new treatments 바카라 게임 웹사이트 then we could slip backwards."Experts say COVID will keep causing serious illness in some people. The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub made some pandemic projections spanning August 2022 to May 2023, assuming the new tweaked boosters adding protection for the newest omicron relatives would be available and a booster campaign would take place in fall and winter. In the most pessimistic scenario 바카라 게임 웹사이트 a new variant and late boosters 바카라 게임 웹사이트 they projected 1.3 million hospitalizations and 181,000 deaths during that period. In the most optimistic scenario 바카라 게임 웹사이트 no new variant and early boosters 바카라 게임 웹사이트 they projected a little more than half the number of hospitalizations and 111,000 deaths.Eric Topol, head of Scripps Research Translational Institute, said the world is likely to keep seeing repetitive surges until "we do the things we have to do," such as developing next generation vaccines and rolling them out equitably.Topol said the virus "just has too many ways to work around our current strategies, and it'll just keep finding people, finding them again, and self-perpetuating." How will the virus mutate?Scientists expect more genetic changes that affect parts of the spike protein studding the surface of the virus, letting it attach to human cells."Every time we think we've seen the peak transmission, peak immune escape properties, the virus exceeds that by another significant notch," Topol said.But the virus probably won't keep getting more transmissible forever."I think there is a limit," said Matthew Binnicker, director of clinical virology at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota. "What we're really dealing with, though, is there's still a lot of people across the world who don't have any prior immunity 바카라 게임 웹사이트 either they haven't been infected or they haven't had access to vaccination."Video above: Doctor says CDC made 'right call' in approving new booster shotsIf humanity's baseline level of immunity rises significantly, he said, the rate of infections, and with that emergence of more contagious variants, should slow down.But there is a chance the virus could mutate in a way that causes more severe illness."There's not any inherent reason, biologically, that the virus has to become milder over time," said Dr. Wesley Long, a pathologist at Houston Methodist. The fact it may seem milder now "is likely just the combined effect of all of us having some immune history with the virus."While scientists hope that continues, they also point out that immunity gradually wanes. Will the next variant be another version of omicron?Omicron has been around since late last year, with a series of super transmissible versions quickly displacing one another, and Binnicker believes "that will continue at least for the next few months."But down the road, he said it's likely a new variant distinct from omicron will pop up.The recent wave of infections and re-infections, he said, "gives the virus more chances to spread and mutate and new variants to emerge." Can people influence the future of the virus?Yes, experts said.One way, they said, is to get vaccinated and boosted. Not only does that protect against severe disease and death, it raises the level of immunity globally. They said people should also keep protecting themselves by, for example, wearing masks indoors when COVID rates are high.CDC director Rochelle Walensky said Tuesday that up to 100,000 COVID-19 hospitalizations and 9,000 deaths could be prevented if Americans get the updated booster at the same rate they typically get an annual flu shot this fall. About half of Americans are typically vaccinated against the flu each year.Video above: U.S. clears updated COVID boosters for new variantsLongtime nurse Catherine Mirabile said it's important not to dismiss the dangers of the coronavirus 바카라 게임 웹사이트 which sickened her twice, nearly killed her husband and left them both with long COVID. Daily deaths still average around 450 in the U.S."People really need to look at this and still take this seriously," said the 62-year-old from Princeton, West Virginia, who is now on disability. "They could end up in the same shape we're in."

Video above: What's the difference with the new COVID-19 booster shots?

Is the coronavirus on its way out?

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You might think so. New, updated booster shots are being rolled out to better protect against the variants circulating now. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has dropped COVID-19 quarantine and distancing recommendations. And more people have thrown off their masks and returned to pre-pandemic activities.

But scientists say no. They predict the scourge that's already lasted longer than the 1918 flu pandemic will linger far into the future.

One reason it's lasted this long? It's gotten better and better at getting around immunity from vaccination and past infection. Scientists point to emerging research that suggests the latest omicron variant gaining ground in the U.S. 바카라 게임 웹사이트 BA.4.6, which was responsible for around 8% of new U.S. infections last week 바카라 게임 웹사이트 appears to be even better at evading the immune system than the dominant BA.5.

Scientists worry the virus may well keep evolving in worrisome ways.

How long will it be around?

White House COVID-19 coordinator Dr. Ashish Jha said COVID-19 will likely be with us for the rest of our lives.

Experts expect COVID-19 will someday become endemic, meaning it occurs regularly in certain areas according to established patterns. But they don't think that will be very soon.

Still, living with COVID "should not necessarily be a scary or bad concept," since people are getting better at fighting it, Jha said during a recent question-and-answer session with U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. "Obviously if we take our foot off the gas 바카라 게임 웹사이트 if we stop updating our vaccines, we stop getting new treatments 바카라 게임 웹사이트 then we could slip backwards."

Experts say COVID will keep causing serious illness in some people. The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub made some pandemic projections spanning August 2022 to May 2023, assuming the new tweaked boosters adding protection for the newest omicron relatives would be available and a booster campaign would take place in fall and winter. In the most pessimistic scenario 바카라 게임 웹사이트 a new variant and late boosters 바카라 게임 웹사이트 they projected 1.3 million hospitalizations and 181,000 deaths during that period. In the most optimistic scenario 바카라 게임 웹사이트 no new variant and early boosters 바카라 게임 웹사이트 they projected a little more than half the number of hospitalizations and 111,000 deaths.

Eric Topol, head of Scripps Research Translational Institute, said the world is likely to keep seeing repetitive surges until "we do the things we have to do," such as developing next generation vaccines and rolling them out equitably.

Topol said the virus "just has too many ways to work around our current strategies, and it'll just keep finding people, finding them again, and self-perpetuating."

How will the virus mutate?

Scientists expect more genetic changes that affect parts of the spike protein studding the surface of the virus, letting it attach to human cells.

"Every time we think we've seen the peak transmission, peak immune escape properties, the virus exceeds that by another significant notch," Topol said.

But the virus probably won't keep getting more transmissible forever.

"I think there is a limit," said Matthew Binnicker, director of clinical virology at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota. "What we're really dealing with, though, is there's still a lot of people across the world who don't have any prior immunity 바카라 게임 웹사이트 either they haven't been infected or they haven't had access to vaccination."

Video above: Doctor says CDC made 'right call' in approving new booster shots

If humanity's baseline level of immunity rises significantly, he said, the rate of infections, and with that emergence of more contagious variants, should slow down.

But there is a chance the virus could mutate in a way that causes more severe illness.

"There's not any inherent reason, biologically, that the virus has to become milder over time," said Dr. Wesley Long, a pathologist at Houston Methodist. The fact it may seem milder now "is likely just the combined effect of all of us having some immune history with the virus."

While scientists hope that continues, they also point out that immunity gradually wanes.

Will the next variant be another version of omicron?

Omicron has been around since late last year, with a series of super transmissible versions quickly displacing one another, and Binnicker believes "that will continue at least for the next few months."

But down the road, he said it's likely a new variant distinct from omicron will pop up.

The recent wave of infections and re-infections, he said, "gives the virus more chances to spread and mutate and new variants to emerge."

Can people influence the future of the virus?

Yes, experts said.

One way, they said, is to get vaccinated and boosted. Not only does that protect against severe disease and death, it raises the level of immunity globally. They said people should also keep protecting themselves by, for example, wearing masks indoors when COVID rates are high.

CDC director Rochelle Walensky said Tuesday that up to 100,000 COVID-19 hospitalizations and 9,000 deaths could be prevented if Americans get the updated booster at the same rate they typically get an annual flu shot this fall. About half of Americans are typically vaccinated against the flu each year.

Video above: U.S. clears updated COVID boosters for new variants

Longtime nurse Catherine Mirabile said it's important not to dismiss the dangers of the coronavirus 바카라 게임 웹사이트 which sickened her twice, nearly killed her husband and left them both with long COVID. Daily deaths still average around 450 in the U.S.

"People really need to look at this and still take this seriously," said the 62-year-old from Princeton, West Virginia, who is now on disability. "They could end up in the same shape we're in."